Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017

Also known as: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Program History

Coach: Shane Burcar

2026 Team Stats (29 games)

72.9

PPG

77.2

Opp

-4.3

Margin

47.2%

FG%

37.5%

3P%

67.6%

FT%

29.9

RPG

13.7

APG

10.2

74.1

Pace

66.4

AdjO

76.6

AdjD

#306

Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	727 (#347)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	805 (#319)	-
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More →	909 (#659)	HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More →	-9.7 (#303)	HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More →	+1.7 (#340)	HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.182 (#337)	-
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -12.6 More →	0.187 (#285)	NetEff -12.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.5 More →	0.158 (#311)	AdjNet -14.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.5 More →	0.157 (#311)	AdjNet -14.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.4 \| AdjD 76.6 More →	0.282 (#306)	AdjO 66.4 \| AdjD 76.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.6 \| AdjD 74.1 More →	0.379 (#647)	AdjO 68.6 \| AdjD 74.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.498 (#349)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.452 (#367)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 149 \| GP 29 More →	870 (#577)	RD 149 \| GP 29

2026 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2025-11-03	@	Drake Bulldogs	L	71 - 77
2025-11-07	vs	Justice College Lions	W	87 - 55
2025-11-11	@	Arizona Wildcats	L	49 - 84
2025-11-18	vs	Embry-Riddle (AZ) Eagles	W	108 - 79
2025-11-24	vs	Cal Poly Mustangs	W	93 - 87
2025-11-26	vs	Southeast Missouri State Redhawks	W	79 - 72
2025-12-03	vs	South Dakota State Jackrabbits	L	62 - 75
2025-12-13	@	San Diego Toreros	L	69 - 78
2025-12-18	vs	Southern Utah Thunderbirds	W	65 - 57
2025-12-21	@	Incarnate Word Cardinals	L	66 - 90
2025-12-29	vs	Benedictine (AZ) Redhawks	W	112 - 60
2026-01-01	@	Montana Grizzlies	L	64 - 78
2026-01-03	@	Montana State Bobcats	L	68 - 77
2026-01-08	vs	Weber State Wildcats	L	65 - 78
2026-01-10	vs	Idaho State Bengals	L	79 - 81
2026-01-15	@	Sacramento State Hornets	L	69 - 83
2026-01-19	vs	Montana Grizzlies	L	72 - 98
2026-01-24	vs	Northern Colorado Bears	W	81 - 77
2026-01-29	vs	Eastern Washington Eagles	W	92 - 86
2026-01-31	vs	Idaho Vandals	L	62 - 79
2026-02-05	@	Idaho State Bengals	W	79 - 73
2026-02-07	@	Weber State Wildcats	L	53 - 72
2026-02-12	vs	Portland State Vikings	L	68 - 77
2026-02-14	vs	Sacramento State Hornets	W	79 - 74
2026-02-21	@	Northern Colorado Bears	L	77 - 78
2026-02-26	@	Idaho Vandals	L	58 - 78
2026-02-28	@	Eastern Washington Eagles	L	57 - 88
2026-03-02	vs	Montana State Bobcats	L	65 - 76
2026-03-07	@	Idaho State Bengals	L	65 - 73

2026 Roster

Show Alumni

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
Z. Davidson	F	13	21.3	12.6	4.8	0.8	0.5	0.0	1.5	8.7	8.6	-71	-5.1	-15.7	61.1	33.3	41.0	-0.02	58.6	61.5
R. Abelman	G	28	32.1	10.6	5.0	2.0	1.1	0.1	1.1	9.0	8.8	-62	-2.7	-7.1	41.1	36.9	89.4	-0.36	54.4	50.6
K. Poom	-	29	19.6	9.2	3.4	1.2	0.3	0.1	1.6	6.6	6.1	-31	-1.3	-4.2	51.6	33.3	53.5	-0.61	56.9	56.1
Chris Komin	-	28	27.7	8.6	2.2	2.4	1.4	0.5	0.9	6.2	8.0	-70	-3.2	-8.1	46.6	35.7	82.8	-1.56	59.4	53.7
I. Shaw	G	26	18.3	7.8	2.0	0.6	0.5	0.5	1.1	5.1	5.2	-98	-4.5	-13.4	45.9	45.8	80.3	-0.03	62.3	56.0
T. Jackson	-	29	22.3	7.7	5.2	1.0	1.0	0.8	1.0	5.2	9.3	2	0.2	0.9	58.6	0	65.2	0.05	61.1	58.6
D. Campisano	F	23	18.5	7.6	2.6	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.6	5.9	4.9	-16	-0.9	-4.3	41.2	39.1	78.4	-0.18	57.5	53.7
A. Osojnik	-	26	15.4	6.2	2.2	1.0	0.6	0.3	1.0	5.8	3.5	-76	-3.5	-14.8	42.4	33.9	77.8	0.06	50.7	48.7
K. Bradford	G	27	14.1	5.3	1.4	1.5	0.5	0.2	1.1	4.0	3.7	-102	-4.4	-84.2	44.9	28.6	67.7	0.03	52.9	46.7
Brennan Peterson	-	29	19.9	4.9	0.7	2.1	0.4	0.0	0.9	4.0	3.4	-15	-1.2	-64.2	41.7	40.7	66.7	0.1	58.2	57.0
W. Timme	-	1	8.0	4.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.0	3.0	-	-	-	100.0	0	0	-	100.0	100.0
O. Fort	G	27	11.0	3.1	0.9	1.5	0.4	0.0	0.5	2.5	2.9	2	0.1	0.7	51.5	38.5	50.0	-0.38	58.7	58.8
Erez Poran	-	12	5.2	0.8	1.3	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.2	1.2	1.3	-2	-0.2	-2.3	28.6	14.3	33.3	-0.15	32.6	32.1
Jt Amundsen	-	5	1.4	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.6	0.6	11	2.8	600.0	33.3	33.3	0	0.02	50.0	50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG