Model Predictions
| Model | South Dakota State Jackrabbits | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.6% | 27.4% | -5.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -13 (62-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Dakota State Jackrabbits
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Sayler * | 34 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 17 | +5.2 |
| K. Garry * | 32 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +20.6 |
| J. Jackson * | 29 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | +24.4 |
| M. Mors * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +21.6 |
| A. Squires * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +9.2 |
| D. Wilkinson | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | +1.7 |
| L. Haertle | 19 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | -3.1 |
| C. Delzell | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.3 |
| T. Buchanan | 7 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -10.4 |
| B. Alvarez | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Abelman * | 35 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | -14.7 |
| K. Bradford * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | -17.2 |
| I. Shaw * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -20.7 |
| A. Osojnik * | 24 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | -2.9 |
| Z. Davidson * | 24 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | -9.8 |
| K. Poom | 20 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +10.8 |
| T. Jackson | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| C. Komin | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4.5 |
| B. Peterson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +6.3 |
| O. Fort | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
* = starter