Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 83.0% | 17.0% | -8.7 | ✗ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +4 (81-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Denker | 37 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | -0.6 |
| Z. Bloch | 35 | 5-11 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | -5.5 |
| B. Wisne | 31 | 8-11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 11 | +0.4 |
| R. Nyeri | 28 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -2.3 |
| I. Yamazaki | 27 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | -1.8 |
| E. Shields | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | +0.1 |
| V. Delano | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +0.4 |
| A. Mawien | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +8.8 |
| T. Braketa | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.8 |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Peterson | 38 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -6.3 |
| C. Komin | 35 | 9-10 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 21 | -1.1 |
| K. Poom | 26 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -1 | +0.8 |
| R. Abelman | 26 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | +0.6 |
| T. Jackson | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| I. Shaw | 20 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -3 | +3.9 |
| D. Campisano | 20 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | -4.1 |
| A. Osojnik | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.9 |
| O. Fort | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.9 |
| K. Bradford | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +1.1 |
* = starter