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2025-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Southern Utah Thunderbirds Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 50.4% 49.6% -
Bradley-Terry 43.8% 56.2% -
Margin 42.2% 57.8% +1.7 (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% -
Points Off/Def 49.0% 51.0% -

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +8 (65-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hayhurst 39 2-8 2-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 6 3 -3.7
Z. Bell 37 4-7 0-2 4-5 3 3 1 0 4 12 8 -5.0
I. Cottrell 30 3-6 0-1 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 6 7 -10.0
J. Feroah 24 3-9 2-3 0-0 11 0 1 2 3 8 10 -1.8
L. Abellar 20 3-4 0-0 4-6 2 3 0 0 1 10 10 +6.1
E. Duval 19 3-10 1-2 0-1 4 2 0 0 5 7 -2 -9.0
C. Barclay 15 3-6 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 3 -5.0
K. Burdick 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 +2.8
J. Lee 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.0
L. Stephens 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -3.9

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Abelman 38 8-11 4-6 4-6 5 1 0 0 0 24 19 +8.1
K. Poom 30 5-9 0-1 0-1 7 1 1 0 0 10 10 +6.1
C. Komin 26 1-6 0-1 2-2 5 2 3 2 0 4 10 +5.5
A. Osojnik 24 1-9 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 2 -8 +1.4
K. Bradford 21 2-6 2-2 2-3 2 2 0 0 0 8 6 +6.6
Z. Davidson 20 4-8 0-0 0-2 6 1 1 0 2 8 6 +1.4
T. Jackson 20 2-5 0-0 1-1 5 0 3 0 0 5 8 -
I. Shaw 12 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 1 3 0 1 4 5 -4.5
O. Fort 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3.4
B. Peterson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -2.0

* = starter