🐻⬇️🏀

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 77
@
Northern Colorado Bears 78
2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Northern Colorado Bears Spread Result
Elo 7.4% 92.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 21.1% 78.9% - ✓
Margin 8.3% 91.7% +13.2 ✓ (12.2 off)
Pythagorean 20.3% 79.7% - ✓
Efficiency 5.8% 94.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 6.3% 93.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 6.2% 93.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 22.5% 77.5% - ✓

Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +1 (78-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Komin 40 10-19 2-6 12-13 4 1 4 0 1 34 23 -
D. Campisano 34 3-8 2-5 2-2 4 1 2 0 2 10 7 -
B. Peterson 33 2-7 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 5 1 -
T. Jackson 32 3-6 0-0 4-6 4 2 1 2 0 10 13 -
R. Abelman 31 4-5 2-3 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 10 9 -
K. Poom 15 1-5 0-0 2-6 4 0 1 0 0 4 4 -
O. Fort 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
A. Osojnik 6 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
I. Shaw 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Denker 38 3-9 0-1 7-11 8 4 0 2 1 13 17 -
I. Yamazaki 33 4-7 2-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 10 8 -
Z. Bloch 32 2-5 1-3 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 7 3 -
B. Wisne 32 15-21 1-3 7-9 5 2 0 2 2 38 24 -
R. Nyeri 28 4-10 0-2 0-0 10 0 1 0 2 8 7 -
V. Delano 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 2 -
E. Shields 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 1 0 4 -
A. Mawien 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
H. Caldwell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter