Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.6% | 88.4% | +11.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +6 (77-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Abelman | 39 | 6-19 | 5-13 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Zack Davidson | 36 | 12-19 | 1-1 | 4-8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 22 | - |
| Brennan Peterson | 29 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Traivar Jackson | 27 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Arne Osojnik | 22 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Shaw | 18 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Karl Poom | 14 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Oakland Fort | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Diego Campisano | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kavon Bradford | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Quinn | 34 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Jaehshon Thomas | 30 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Braden Appelhans | 27 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Okku Federiko | 26 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| W. Exacte | 25 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Isaiah Carr | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Andrew Alia | 19 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Griffen Goodbary | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Eli Shetlar | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter