Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Idaho State Bengals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.3% | 79.7% | +7.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Idaho State Bengals +8 (73-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Komin | 36 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| T. Jackson | 32 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| D. Campisano | 31 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| R. Abelman | 27 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| I. Shaw | 26 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| O. Fort | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Peterson | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Poom | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Osojnik | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Z. Davidson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Bradford | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Amundsen | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kheil | 36 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| L. Bond | 36 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| C. Hollenbeck | 34 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 3-7 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 23 | - |
| J. Guerra | 26 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | - |
| C. Van De Griend | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| L. Brewer | 17 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| G. Etchison | 14 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| E. Otten | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| B. Daberkow | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Brown | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Sow | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Birley | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter