Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Idaho State Bengals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.3% | 79.7% | +7.5 | ✗ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Idaho State Bengals -6 (73-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Abelman | 39 | 6-9 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 21 | - |
| C. Komin | 35 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Peterson | 29 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| D. Campisano | 25 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| K. Poom | 24 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| T. Jackson | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| I. Shaw | 12 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| O. Fort | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Bradford | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hollenbeck | 37 | 8-14 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 13 | - |
| L. Brewer | 34 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Guerra | 31 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| M. Kheil | 31 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| C. Van De Griend | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| E. Otten | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| G. Etchison | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Bond | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Sow | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Daberkow | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter