Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.7% | 46.3% | -0.8 | ✗ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +5 (79-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Summers | 39 | 7-16 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 5 | - |
| P. Johnson | 32 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 13 | - |
| J. Teat | 31 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. Lavrenov | 30 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Madi | 26 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| T. Glover | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. O'Neal | 21 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 8-11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Komin | 39 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| D. Campisano | 38 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| R. Abelman | 38 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| B. Peterson | 31 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| K. Poom | 22 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 5-10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| T. Jackson | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| O. Fort | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
* = starter