Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Weber State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.8% | 86.2% | +10.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Weber State Wildcats +19 (72-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Komin | 34 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| R. Abelman | 30 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| B. Peterson | 29 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| T. Jackson | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Poom | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D. Campisano | 19 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| I. Shaw | 19 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Bradford | 11 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| O. Fort | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Osojnik | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Poran | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Weber State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Saine Jr. | 33 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 8-8 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | - |
| V. Vartiainen | 32 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Gomma | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D. Paschal | 26 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| N. Burris | 25 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| A. Grayson | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| E. Suarez Jr. | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Cutler | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Hansen | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| B. Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter