Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
2026 Team Stats (32 games)
71.3
PPG
76.4
Opp
-5.1
Margin
46.5%
FG%
36.7%
3P%
68.1%
FT%
29.8
RPG
13.3
APG
10.5
TO
65.9
Est. poss./game
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 784 (#334) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 806 (#324) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 897 (#330) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -10.1 (#305) | - |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -12.9 (#332) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.149 (#333) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | Unavailable | Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | Unavailable | Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | Unavailable | Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.289 (#309) | - |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.300 (#348) | - |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | Unavailable | Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | Unavailable | Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 765 (#336) | - |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zack Davidson
|
F | 15 | 22.1 | 13.1 | 4.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 8.9 | 8.3 | -71 | 7 | -10.1 | -20.3 | 61.7 | 25.0 | 46.3 | -4.78 | 60.3 | 62.0 |
Ryan Abelman
|
G | 30 | 32.3 | 10.5 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 9.2 | 8.7 | -126 | 21 | -6.0 | -7.8 | 40.0 | 36.1 | 89.4 | 1.94 | 53.1 | 49.5 |
Karl Poom
|
- | 32 | 19.6 | 8.9 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 6.6 | 5.6 | -135 | 23 | -5.9 | -11.6 | 50.0 | 30.5 | 54.4 | -2.87 | 55.6 | 54.2 |
Isaiah Shaw
|
G | 29 | 18.3 | 8.1 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 5.3 | 5.3 | -125 | 21 | -6.0 | -13.9 | 46.4 | 46.4 | 81.1 | -1.98 | 63.1 | 56.9 |
Chris Komin
|
- | 31 | 26.6 | 7.8 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 5.7 | 7.4 | -181 | 23 | -7.9 | -11.1 | 46.1 | 35.7 | 81.8 | -4.84 | 58.7 | 53.1 |
Traivar Jackson
|
- | 32 | 22.0 | 7.2 | 5.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5.0 | 9.0 | -137 | 23 | -6.0 | -10.7 | 57.8 | 0 | 64.8 | -2.16 | 60.3 | 57.8 |
Diego Campisano
|
F | 26 | 17.8 | 7.0 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 5.6 | 4.4 | -72 | 20 | -3.6 | -7.7 | 39.7 | 37.9 | 76.9 | 0.65 | 55.8 | 52.1 |
Arne Osojnik
|
- | 29 | 16.1 | 6.4 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 6.1 | 4.1 | -116 | 20 | -5.8 | -16.1 | 42.0 | 32.4 | 77.3 | -1.76 | 50.4 | 48.3 |
Kavon Bradford
|
G | 30 | 15.1 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 3.9 | 3.6 | -107 | 21 | -5.1 | -14.9 | 43.2 | 26.7 | 65.6 | -2.84 | 50.6 | 44.9 |
Brennan Peterson
|
- | 32 | 19.4 | 4.8 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 3.3 | -102 | 23 | -4.4 | -8.5 | 41.5 | 41.1 | 71.4 | 0.01 | 58.2 | 56.5 |
W. Timme
|
- | 1 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Oakland Fort
|
G | 29 | 11.1 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.6 | 2.8 | -70 | 20 | -3.5 | -12.1 | 50.7 | 37.0 | 50.0 | -2.33 | 57.3 | 57.3 |
Erez Poran
|
- | 13 | 5.4 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 1.4 | -14 | 10 | -1.4 | -9.8 | 28.6 | 14.3 | 33.3 | -0.71 | 32.6 | 32.1 |
Jt Amundsen
|
- | 5 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.87 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2025-2026 Shot Zones
1769 located field-goal attempts in 32 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Ryan AbelmanKarl PoomChris KominTraivar JacksonIsaiah ShawArne Osojnik
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 299-464 | 64.4 | 598 | Traivar Jackson 22% (134 pts) | Karl Poom 14% (82 pts) | Traivar Jackson 19% (32 misses) | Karl Poom 13% (22 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 201-467 | 43.0 | 402 | Karl Poom 20% (80 pts) | Zack Davidson 15% (60 pts) | Karl Poom 14% (36 misses) | Traivar Jackson 13% (35 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 26-70 | 37.1 | 52 | Karl Poom 23% (12 pts) | Chris Komin 19% (10 pts) | Ryan Abelman 23% (10 misses) | Chris Komin 16% (7 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 28-48 | 58.3 | 56 | Chris Komin 21% (12 pts) | Arne Osojnik 14% (8 pts) | Isaiah Shaw 20% (4 misses) | Kavon Bradford 20% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 30-70 | 42.9 | 60 | Arne Osojnik 23% (14 pts) | Chris Komin 17% (10 pts) | Ryan Abelman 32% (13 misses) | Arne Osojnik 22% (9 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 20-55 | 36.4 | 60 | Isaiah Shaw 35% (21 pts) | Ryan Abelman 25% (15 pts) | Ryan Abelman 31% (11 misses) | Chris Komin 23% (8 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 19-42 | 45.2 | 57 | Ryan Abelman 26% (15 pts) | Isaiah Shaw 21% (12 pts) | Ryan Abelman 39% (9 misses) | Diego Campisano 22% (5 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 73-211 | 34.6 | 219 | Ryan Abelman 29% (63 pts) | Diego Campisano 16% (36 pts) | Ryan Abelman 20% (27 misses) | Brennan Peterson 16% (22 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 55-162 | 34.0 | 165 | Karl Poom 16% (27 pts) | Brennan Peterson 15% (24 pts) | Karl Poom 18% (19 misses) | Ryan Abelman 17% (18 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 72-180 | 40.0 | 216 | Ryan Abelman 22% (48 pts) | Diego Campisano 18% (39 pts) | Ryan Abelman 25% (27 misses) | Diego Campisano 18% (19 misses) |