🐻⬇️🏀

North Carolina

Season: 2026 2025 2024
Also known as: North Carolina Tar Heels
Program History

2026 Team Stats (69 games)

77.1
PPG
72.0
Opp
+8.5
Margin
46.0%
FG%
34.7%
3P%
68.5%
FT%
39.1
RPG
15.8
APG
12.1
TO
81.2
Pace
84.3
AdjO
66.4
AdjD
#27
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo 1221 (#38) -
Bradley-Terry 1283 (#23) -
Bradley-Terry Recency 1052 (#104) -
Margin +17.5 (#27) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency +25.7 (#45) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean 0.774 (#38) -
Efficiency 0.960 (#19) NetEff +31.9
Adjusted Efficiency 0.940 (#24) AdjO 111.9 | AdjD 88.1
Log Adjusted 0.942 (#24) AdjO 112.1 | AdjD 88.0
Points Off/Def 0.836 (#27) AdjO 84.3 | AdjD 66.4
Points Off/Def Recency 0.657 (#63) AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 70.7
Core Ensemble 0.927 (#35) Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def
Recency Ensemble 0.898 (#37) Blend of elo, bradley_terry_recency, margin_recency, pythagorean_log_adjusted, points_off_def_recency
KenPom Kitchen Sink 0.970 (#58) -
Dynamic BT 1290 (#33) HCA +45.0

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Central Ark. W 94 - 54
2025-11-07 vs Kansas W 87 - 74
2025-11-11 vs Radford W 89 - 74
2025-11-12 vs UNC Greensboro W 110 - 64
2025-11-14 vs N.C. Central W 97 - 53
2025-11-18 vs Navy W 73 - 61
2025-11-24 vs Seton Hall L 74 - 85
2025-11-25 @ Boise St. W 81 - 70
2025-11-25 vs St. Bonaventure W 85 - 70
2025-11-26 @ Texas L 97 - 102
2025-11-27 vs Michigan St. L 58 - 74
2025-12-02 @ Kentucky W 67 - 64
2025-12-03 @ Auburn L 73 - 83
2025-12-06 vs UNC Asheville W 75 - 63
2025-12-07 vs Georgetown W 81 - 61
2025-12-10 vs Liberty W 85 - 45
2025-12-13 vs USC Upstate W 80 - 62
2025-12-13 vs Kansas L 76 - 77
2025-12-16 vs ETSU W 77 - 58
2025-12-20 @ Ohio St. W 71 - 70
2025-12-22 vs East Carolina W 99 - 51
2025-12-30 vs Florida St. W 79 - 66
2026-01-03 @ SMU L 83 - 97
2026-01-10 vs Wake Forest W 87 - 84
2026-01-14 @ Stanford L 90 - 95
2026-01-17 @ California L 78 - 84
2026-01-21 vs Notre Dame W 91 - 69
2026-01-24 @ Virginia W 85 - 80
2026-01-31 @ Georgia Tech W 91 - 75
2026-02-02 vs Syracuse W 87 - 77
2026-02-07 vs Duke W 71 - 68
2026-02-10 @ Miami (FL) L 66 - 75
2026-02-14 vs Pittsburgh W 79 - 65
2026-02-17 @ NC State L 58 - 82
2026-02-21 @ Syracuse W 77 - 64
2026-02-23 vs Louisville W 77 - 74
2026-02-28 vs Virginia Tech W 89 - 82
2026-03-03 vs Clemson W 67 - 63
2026-03-07 @ Duke L 61 - 76
2026-03-12 vs Clemson L 79 - 80
2026-03-19 vs VCU L 78 - 82

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles, with four dividers separating the position buckets.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Caleb Wilson F 24 37.6 23.8 11.3 3.2 1.7 1.6 2.4 14.6 24.7 - - - 58.6 31.2 69.6 - 64.1 60.0
Henri Veesaar C 30 35.1 18.9 9.5 2.3 0.7 1.3 1.7 12.3 18.8 - - - 60.6 42.4 64.5 - 67.2 66.3
Seth Trimble G 23 33.5 14.6 3.9 2.9 1.4 0.2 1.5 10.5 11.0 - - - 46.9 28.6 68.4 - 55.9 50.6
Luka Bogavac G 32 27.7 11.1 3.0 2.8 0.5 0.0 1.3 9.2 6.9 - - - 40.8 34.8 74.4 - 54.1 50.5
Jarin Stevenson F 32 29.0 9.1 4.8 1.1 0.7 0.7 0.9 6.2 9.3 - - - 48.2 28.7 75.0 - 60.3 55.0
Derek Dixon G 32 23.5 6.6 2.7 2.9 0.4 0.0 1.2 5.9 5.4 - - - 35.1 38.6 83.8 - 51.9 48.1
Jonathan Powell G 32 19.2 5.8 2.6 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.4 5.2 4.3 - - - 38.2 34.7 53.3 - 51.9 51.2
Kyan Evans G 32 20.4 4.8 1.6 3.1 0.7 0.0 1.2 4.8 4.2 - - - 34.4 32.5 66.7 - 47.9 46.8
Zayden High F 28 10.0 3.6 3.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.7 2.9 4.3 - - - 45.7 18.8 67.6 - 52.1 47.5
Jaydon Young G 30 8.0 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 2.2 1.5 - - - 33.8 31.4 75.0 - 48.2 46.2
Isaiah Denis G 12 3.4 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.2 - - - 52.9 50.0 50.0 - 67.1 67.6
James Brown F 9 7.5 1.7 2.0 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.8 3.4 - - - 71.4 0 27.8 - 50.3 71.4
Evan Smith G 7 1.7 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.0 - - - 66.7 0 75.0 - 73.5 66.7
Ivan Matlekovic C 4 2.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Elijah Davis G 8 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 -0.1 - - - 20.0 20.0 0 - 30.0 30.0
John Holbrook F 7 1.7 0.1 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 - - - 0.0 0 50.0 - 26.6 0.0

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG