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2026-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 21.4% 78.6% -
Bradley-Terry 32.6% 67.4% -
Margin 19.6% 80.4% +7.8 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.3% 78.7% -
Log Adjusted 21.0% 79.0% -
Points Off/Def 31.5% 68.5% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +7 (89-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Hammond 37 5-14 0-2 6-6 3 5 3 0 1 16 12 +7.4
T. Lawal 36 6-7 1-2 3-3 5 1 0 1 2 16 14 +1.5
J. Schutt 29 3-7 3-7 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 9 4 -0.7
N. Avdalas 29 7-16 3-6 2-2 3 5 0 0 2 19 9 -1.6
J. Bedford 24 3-9 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 7 2 +7.4
A. Hansberry 19 5-7 1-2 0-0 1 1 2 1 0 11 9 +7.6
C. Gurdak 18 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
A. Dorn 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -7.3
T. Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.9

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Trimble 35 7-12 1-1 5-8 2 4 1 0 2 20 13 -7.7
H. Veesaar 33 11-20 2-7 2-3 7 2 1 1 0 26 17 +4.4
J. Stevenson 25 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 4 1 -3.9
Kyan. Evans 24 1-2 1-2 2-2 2 3 1 0 1 5 8 -0.3
J. Powell 23 4-5 4-5 3-5 5 1 1 0 0 15 17 +0.6
Z. High 21 2-3 0-1 8-8 5 1 1 0 2 12 14 +1.3
L. Bogavac 19 1-3 0-2 3-4 3 1 0 0 3 5 3 -1.3
D. Dixon 17 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 2 2 +0.1
J. Young 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 3 +3.4

* = starter