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2026-02-10

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Miami Hurricanes Spread Result
Elo 30.1% 69.9% -
Bradley-Terry 49.7% 50.3% -
Margin 41.8% 58.2% +1.8 (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% -
Efficiency 96.5% 3.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.2% 46.8% -
Log Adjusted 53.2% 46.8% -
Points Off/Def 44.8% 55.2% -

Actual: Miami Hurricanes +9 (75-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Veesaar 33 5-12 1-4 0-0 6 2 1 0 0 11 8 -
S. Trimble 27 0-5 0-3 4-4 1 3 0 0 0 4 3 -
C. Wilson 26 4-10 0-1 4-6 6 0 0 3 2 12 9 -
J. Stevenson 26 6-10 1-3 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 13 8 -
D. Dixon 20 1-9 0-6 0-0 0 4 1 0 4 2 -6 -
J. Powell 20 2-4 1-2 0-0 5 1 2 0 0 5 9 -
Kyan. Evans 19 3-4 2-3 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 8 7 -
J. Young 11 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
L. Bogavac 11 2-5 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 6 1 -
Z. High 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 2 7 -

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Henderson 36 5-14 0-1 2-2 5 0 2 2 1 12 6 -
T. Donaldson 36 6-16 0-4 2-2 6 5 1 1 3 14 8 -
M. Reneau 35 5-11 1-1 5-9 10 4 3 0 2 16 20 -
E. Udeh Jr. 35 7-8 0-0 1-4 10 1 1 1 2 15 18 -
D. Allen 33 4-8 0-2 1-3 2 4 0 0 0 9 7 -
T. Malovec 16 1-3 1-3 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
N. Dovrat 7 1-2 1-2 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
S. Altuntas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter