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North Carolina Tar Heels 67
@
Kentucky Wildcats 64
2025-12-02

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 47.1% 52.9% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 52.6% 47.4% - βœ“
Margin 33.0% 67.0% +3.9 βœ— (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 50.0% 50.0% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 46.7% 53.3% - βœ—

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -3 (64-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Veesaar * 36 8-12 0-1 1-1 10 0 0 0 2 17 13 +4.5
C. Wilson * 35 5-19 0-2 5-8 12 6 2 1 2 15 15 +3.4
J. Stevenson * 34 2-5 0-2 0-0 5 2 2 1 1 4 8 +7.4
L. Bogavac * 29 4-11 3-6 1-4 4 2 0 0 4 12 3 -5.0
Kyan. Evans * 16 1-5 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 -2 -2.1
D. Dixon 24 3-8 1-4 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 9 4 +4.0
J. Powell 21 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 6 6 +1.1
Z. High 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -0.9
J. Young 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Aberdeen * 35 4-13 0-3 2-2 4 4 0 1 1 10 5 +8.3
C. Chandler * 34 4-9 0-2 4-4 2 1 2 0 2 12 6 -10.0
O. Oweh * 33 6-11 0-1 4-6 4 2 2 2 2 16 13 +5.3
M. Moreno * 31 2-2 0-0 4-6 9 0 2 3 0 8 20 +5.3
K. Williams * 16 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 2 +4.6
A. Jelavić 24 3-6 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 6 5 -
T. Noah 13 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 1 1 0 0 2 3 +1.2
B. Garrison 9 2-3 1-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 -4.5
J. Johnson 5 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -5.0

* = starter