Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +1.4 | ✓ (22.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +24 (82-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Stevenson | 35 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Z. High | 30 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 16 | - |
| S. Trimble | 27 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| L. Bogavac | 27 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| J. Powell | 27 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| D. Dixon | 21 | 2-12 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4 | - |
| J. Young | 16 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Kyan. Evans | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Denis | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Copeland | 32 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 21 | - |
| M. Able | 31 | 6-10 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| P. McNeil | 31 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| V. Lubin | 28 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| T. Arceneaux | 23 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Holloman | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Dar. Williams | 16 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| M. Sagnia | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Breed | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Snell | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter