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2026-01-31

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Spread Result
Elo 90.5% 9.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 84.4% 15.6% - โœ“
Margin 91.5% 8.5% -13.1 โœ“ (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 65.0% 35.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 89.5% 10.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 92.0% 8.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 92.1% 7.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 74.3% 25.7% - โœ“

Actual: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -16 (75-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Seth Trimble 30 8-14 1-2 1-1 4 2 1 0 0 18 11 +6.6
Caleb Wilson 30 9-15 1-3 3-3 6 5 1 1 1 22 19 +9.1
Henri Veesaar 30 8-15 1-4 3-3 12 1 2 4 0 20 24 +26.8
Luka Bogavac 26 6-10 3-7 1-1 1 3 1 0 0 16 11 +11.3
Derek Dixon 24 1-7 1-5 2-2 2 3 1 0 1 5 3 +1.5
Jarin Stevenson 22 3-6 0-1 1-2 6 2 1 0 0 7 10 -6.4
Kyan. Evans 16 1-6 1-6 0-0 2 3 2 0 0 3 4 +7.5
Jonathan Powell 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +4.0
Jaydon Young 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 3 -3.7
Zayden High 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -4.8

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Baye Ndongo 38 9-12 1-1 8-10 7 4 0 2 3 27 25 -0.1
Kowacie Reeves Jr. 30 6-10 2-2 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 14 8 -3.9
Kam Craft 29 5-11 3-8 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 15 8 -7.3
Jaeden Mustaf 28 2-6 0-0 2-3 5 1 0 0 2 6 4 -8.2
Lamar Washington 25 2-11 0-0 2-2 7 3 1 0 2 6 4 -7.6
Akai Fleming 24 2-6 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 4 1 +4.9
Chas Kelley III 18 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 4 0 1 1 3 6 -8.3
Cole Kirouac 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.4

* = starter