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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 77.2% 22.8% -
Bradley-Terry 66.9% 33.1% -
Margin 74.5% 25.5% -5.9 (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 56.4% 43.6% -
Efficiency 96.5% 3.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.9% 20.1% -
Log Adjusted 80.0% 20.0% -
Points Off/Def 62.1% 37.9% -

Actual: Syracuse Orange -13 (64-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Dixon 32 2-7 1-4 2-2 4 4 1 0 1 7 8 -
J. Stevenson 31 2-7 0-2 3-6 4 1 1 1 1 7 6 -
L. Bogavac 31 5-10 0-2 3-7 6 2 0 0 0 13 11 -
S. Trimble 30 5-7 0-0 3-7 5 2 2 0 1 13 14 -
H. Veesaar 26 9-13 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 3 3 19 10 -
Z. High 19 2-4 1-1 4-6 11 0 1 0 3 9 14 -
J. Powell 17 2-5 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
Kyan. Evans 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
J. Young 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. George 35 2-11 0-5 3-4 3 1 1 1 3 7 -1 -
JJ Starling 34 10-19 0-1 2-3 4 2 0 0 2 22 7 -
W. Kyle III 28 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 1 2 1 2 4 10 -
D. Freeman 28 3-8 0-3 3-4 7 0 0 3 1 9 10 -
T. Betsey 22 3-5 3-5 1-3 0 0 1 0 0 10 6 -
N. Kingz 20 2-6 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 4 -1 -
S. White Jr. 18 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
K. Anthony 14 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
I. Souare 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter