Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.7% | 38.3% | -2.6 | ✓ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -16 (58-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coen Carr * | 36 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jeremy Fears Jr. * | 36 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Jaxon Kohler * | 32 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Carson Cooper * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Trey Fort * | 21 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Cameron Ward | 16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Kur Teng | 13 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Divine Ugochukwu | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Scott | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jesse McCulloch | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Bogavac * | 35 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Caleb Wilson * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Kyan. Evans * | 33 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Henri Veesaar * | 29 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jarin Stevenson * | 28 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jonathan Powell | 23 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Derek Dixon | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| James Brown | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zayden High | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter