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2026-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 19.1% 80.9% -
Bradley-Terry 13.4% 86.6% -
Margin 9.8% 90.2% +12.2 (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 33.6% 66.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.3% 91.7% -
Log Adjusted 8.1% 91.9% -
Points Off/Def 23.2% 76.8% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +14 (79-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Dunning Jr. 37 4-10 2-7 0-0 8 2 1 1 2 10 10 -
C. Corhen 36 10-17 3-4 0-0 6 6 0 0 1 23 17 -
R. Siulepa 33 6-10 0-2 2-4 2 1 0 1 0 14 8 -
D. Minor 27 1-5 1-3 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 3 4 -
N. Indrusaitis 26 3-5 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 7 7 -
O. Witherspoon 23 2-8 0-1 2-2 2 3 1 0 4 6 0 -
M. Moore 13 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 2 3 -
K. Mullen 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Stevenson 36 6-7 3-4 4-4 3 2 0 1 0 19 18 -
S. Trimble 35 5-13 0-2 9-11 3 0 2 0 2 19 9 -
L. Bogavac 34 6-15 3-7 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 15 5 -
Z. High 32 7-11 0-2 1-2 7 2 1 0 0 15 14 -
D. Dixon 30 1-5 1-3 0-0 7 7 1 0 1 3 12 -
J. Powell 15 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
Kyan. Evans 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Young 8 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter