North Carolina

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017

Also known as: North Carolina Tar Heels

Program History

Coach: Roy Williams

2014 Team Stats (19 games)

75.4

PPG

71.6

Opp

+3.8

Margin

46.4%

FG%

32.0%

3P%

60.8%

FT%

38.9

RPG

14.4

APG

12.1

83.5

Pace

Model Outputs

2013-2014

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	1613 (#38)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	1582 (#18)	-
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More →	+40.7 (#10)	HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.482 (#36)	-
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.8 More →	0.577 (#28)	NetEff +2.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.8 More →	0.796 (#30)	AdjNet +11.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.0 More →	0.799 (#30)	AdjNet +12.0

2014 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2013-11-08	vs	Oakland Golden Grizzlies	W	84 - 61
2013-12-01	@	UAB Blazers	L	59 - 63
2013-12-14	vs	Kentucky Wildcats	W	82 - 77
2013-12-18	vs	Texas Longhorns	L	83 - 86
2013-12-21	vs	Davidson Wildcats	W	97 - 85
2013-12-27	vs	Northern Kentucky Norse	W	75 - 60
2013-12-31	vs	UNC Wilmington Seahawks	W	84 - 51
2014-01-05	@	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	L	67 - 73
2014-01-11	@	Syracuse Orange	L	45 - 57
2014-02-12	vs	Duke Blue Devils	-	Preview
2014-02-15	vs	Pittsburgh Panthers	W	75 - 71
2014-02-17	@	Florida State Seminoles	W	81 - 75
2014-02-20	vs	Duke Blue Devils	W	74 - 66
2014-02-26	@	NC State Wolfpack	W	85 - 84
2014-03-01	@	Virginia Tech Hokies	W	60 - 56
2014-03-03	vs	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	W	63 - 61
2014-03-08	@	Duke Blue Devils	L	81 - 93
2014-03-14	vs	Pittsburgh Panthers	L	75 - 80
2014-03-21	vs	Providence Friars	W	79 - 77
2014-03-23	@	Iowa State Cyclones	L	83 - 85

2014 Roster

Show Alumni

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
M. Paige	G	19	35.6	17.5	3.2	3.6	1.6	0.2	2.1	12.9	11.1	-	-	-	44.9	38.5	87.3	-	60.1	55.1
J. McAdoo	F	19	30.5	14.3	6.8	1.8	1.4	0.9	1.5	11.1	12.6	-	-	-	47.4	0.0	53.4	-	50.3	47.4
J.P. Tokoto	F	19	29.3	10.5	5.9	3.2	1.6	0.7	1.9	8.5	11.5	-	-	-	51.6	23.8	51.9	-	53.9	53.1
L. McDonald	G	16	26.1	9.2	1.8	1.1	0.4	0.1	1.4	8.6	2.8	-	-	-	38.0	28.0	55.3	-	48.1	46.4
B. Johnson	F	19	18.6	9.2	6.2	0.8	0.7	1.4	1.2	7.3	9.8	-26	-2.4	-3.2	54.7	0	54.8	0.53	55.6	54.7
K. Meeks	F	19	16.0	6.5	5.5	0.5	0.3	0.8	1.1	5.2	7.3	-	-	-	50.5	0	63.9	-	53.6	50.5
N. Britt	G	19	22.0	5.0	1.2	2.5	1.2	0.1	1.5	4.6	3.7	-	-	-	35.2	0.0	82.5	-	45.0	35.2
J. James	F	15	6.0	1.5	2.3	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.5	1.2	2.3	-	-	-	38.9	0	72.7	-0.17	48.2	38.9
I. Hicks	F	19	7.7	1.4	1.4	0.2	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.9	2.3	-	-	-	52.9	50.0	53.8	-	57.2	55.9
J. Simmons	F	18	6.2	1.1	1.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.8	1.9	-	-	-	50.0	0	41.7	0.68	49.3	50.0
D. Hubert	F	18	7.3	0.7	1.3	0.2	0.0	0.4	0.3	0.7	1.6	-	-	-	46.2	0	8.3	-	35.6	46.2
W. Moody	G	5	1.6	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.6	0.4	-	-	-	33.3	50.0	0	-	50.0	50.0
D. Robinson	F	4	1.8	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5	0.8	11	1.8	8.3	50.0	0	0	0.28	50.0	50.0
L. Davis	G	9	4.9	0.4	0.3	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.4	0.3	4	0.3	0.5	50.0	0.0	0.0	0.98	41.0	50.0
J. Manor	F	4	1.8	0.0	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.2	0.0	0.2	0.8	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0	-	0.0	0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG