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Duke Blue Devils 66
@
North Carolina Tar Heels 74
2014-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 71.5% 28.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 58.7% 41.3% - ✗
Margin 50.8% 49.2% -0.2 ✗ (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 60.0% 40.0% - ✗
Efficiency 80.7% 19.3% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 84.2% 15.8% - ✗
Log Adjusted 84.2% 15.8% - ✗

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +8 (74-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Sulaimon * 35 2-10 0-4 2-2 3 0 2 1 2 6 0 -
J. Parker * 33 7-14 0-1 3-6 11 1 1 2 5 17 13 -
R. Hood * 30 7-15 2-6 0-0 0 1 0 1 2 16 1 -
A. Jefferson * 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
T. Thornton * 20 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Q. Cook 33 7-13 3-7 0-1 3 3 2 0 2 17 10 -
M. Plumlee 16 1-2 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 1 0 3 9 -
A. Dawkins 10 2-5 0-3 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 5 2 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Paige * 37 5-10 1-5 2-2 1 4 0 0 5 13 3 -
J.P. Tokoto * 35 3-7 0-0 3-4 7 2 2 0 2 9 11 -
J. McAdoo * 33 5-14 0-0 0-1 10 2 1 1 0 10 10 -
L. McDonald * 32 9-12 1-4 2-4 4 1 0 1 1 21 14 -
K. Meeks * 16 1-5 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 2 4 4 -
B. Johnson 14 1-2 0-0 3-4 6 1 1 0 2 5 9 -
N. Britt 13 0-2 0-0 6-6 1 1 1 0 1 6 6 -
D. Hubert 11 1-2 0-0 0-6 5 0 0 1 0 2 6 -
I. Hicks 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. James 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Simmons 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter