Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 12.5% | 87.5% | +10.7 | ✗ (15.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -5 (75-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Patterson * | 35 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 2 | - |
| J. Robinson * | 35 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 8-12 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 23 | - |
| C. Wright * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| T. Zanna * | 34 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 30 | - |
| M. Young * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Newkirk | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Artis | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Randall | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McAdoo * | 36 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| M. Paige * | 35 | 9-20 | 4-12 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 10 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| L. McDonald * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| K. Meeks * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| N. Britt | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| B. Johnson | 21 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| I. Hicks | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| D. Hubert | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Simmons | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| J. James | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| W. Moody | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter