Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.1% | 57.9% | +1.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +5 (82-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Harrison | 37 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 10-17 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 16 | - |
| W. Cauley-Stein | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | - |
| J. Young | 29 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 8-10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| J. Randle | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 4 | - |
| A. Poythress | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| A. Harrison | 24 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| D. Hawkins | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Johnson | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Polson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Willis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McAdoo | 37 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 12-19 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 25 | - |
| M. Paige | 37 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 10-10 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 15 | - |
| N. Britt | 28 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto | 26 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| B. Johnson | 24 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K. Meeks | 19 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. James | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Simmons | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Hubert | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| I. Hicks | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Davis | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter