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2013-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 54.0% 46.0% -
Bradley-Terry 54.8% 45.2% -
Margin 42.1% 57.9% +1.8 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 54.5% 45.5% -
Efficiency 57.7% 42.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.7% 32.3% -
Log Adjusted 67.8% 32.2% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +5 (82-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Harrison 37 3-11 1-4 10-17 6 7 1 0 4 17 16 -
W. Cauley-Stein 29 2-3 0-0 1-2 12 1 2 5 4 5 18 -
J. Young 29 3-10 2-6 8-10 5 1 2 0 1 16 13 -
J. Randle 29 3-9 0-0 5-6 5 0 0 1 4 11 4 -
A. Poythress 24 2-4 0-1 2-3 8 0 0 1 1 6 10 -
A. Harrison 24 8-12 1-1 3-3 3 0 2 0 1 20 12 -
D. Hawkins 18 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Johnson 7 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. Polson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Willis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McAdoo 37 4-6 0-0 12-19 5 4 2 1 1 20 25 -
M. Paige 37 6-13 1-5 10-10 2 2 3 0 2 23 15 -
N. Britt 28 3-6 0-1 2-3 1 1 2 0 1 8 5 -
J.P. Tokoto 26 7-10 1-1 0-2 1 2 1 1 2 15 8 -
B. Johnson 24 4-10 0-0 0-2 7 0 1 2 0 8 8 -
K. Meeks 19 0-4 0-0 1-3 4 1 0 2 2 1 2 -
J. James 13 2-4 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
J. Simmons 8 0-0 0-0 0-4 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
D. Hubert 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
I. Hicks 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Davis 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter