Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.5% | 87.5% | +10.7 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +4 (75-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Robinson | 32 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| T. Zanna | 31 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| L. Patterson | 24 | 5-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| C. Wright | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| C. Jones | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Artis | 20 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| M. Young | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J. Newkirk | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Randall | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Uchebo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Paige | 38 | 5-9 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 17 | - |
| J. McAdoo | 37 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 18 | - |
| L. McDonald | 28 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| B. Johnson | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 20 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| N. Britt | 18 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| I. Hicks | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| K. Meeks | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Simmons | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Hubert | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. James | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter