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2013-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 45.8% 54.2% -
Bradley-Terry 50.2% 49.8% -
Margin 23.8% 76.2% +6.4 (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% -
Efficiency 30.8% 69.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.5% 74.5% -
Log Adjusted 25.3% 74.7% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -3 (83-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Taylor * 37 5-16 0-1 6-7 4 3 2 0 4 16 5 -
D. Holland * 29 6-13 2-5 1-5 7 4 2 0 1 15 14 -
J. Holmes * 28 4-7 2-4 5-5 10 0 0 3 1 15 20 -
C. Ridley * 19 2-4 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 2 1 6 9 -
K. Yancy * 18 0-5 0-0 3-4 5 2 2 1 1 3 7 -
J. Felix 23 4-13 3-7 1-2 1 3 0 0 1 12 2 -
P. Ibeh 16 4-5 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 1 0 8 8 -
C. Lammert 15 2-4 0-0 2-2 10 1 0 0 1 6 12 -
D. Croaker 15 2-5 1-4 0-2 2 0 0 0 2 5 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. James 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Paige * 36 5-13 5-9 8-8 7 3 1 0 1 23 20 -
N. Britt * 26 2-9 0-0 3-6 0 7 3 1 3 7 6 -
J.P. Tokoto * 23 2-6 0-1 2-4 3 2 0 0 2 6 3 -
J. McAdoo * 22 3-5 0-0 5-15 2 1 0 3 1 11 11 -
L. McDonald 22 4-10 4-9 3-8 4 0 1 0 0 15 10 -
B. Johnson 22 3-10 0-0 0-2 9 0 1 0 1 6 5 -
K. Meeks 16 4-8 0-0 1-1 6 0 1 0 0 9 8 -
J. Simmons 14 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
I. Hicks 11 1-2 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
D. Hubert 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter