Model Predictions
| Model | Davidson Wildcats | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.3% | 93.7% | +14.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +12 (97-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Sullivan | 44 | 11-21 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 15 | - |
| T. Kalinoski | 39 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 8 | - |
| T. Droney | 35 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Brooks | 28 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| J. Barham | 26 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| C. Czerapowicz | 20 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| J. Belford | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| A. McAuliffe | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Gibbs | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -5 | - |
| J. Aase | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Paige | 41 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| J. McAdoo | 38 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 17 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto | 35 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 27 | - |
| L. McDonald | 30 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| N. Britt | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| B. Johnson | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| K. Meeks | 16 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| J. Simmons | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Hubert | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Davis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Hicks | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter