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2014-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 13.1% 86.9% -
Bradley-Terry 43.2% 56.8% -
Margin 13.2% 86.8% +10.4 (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 38.4% 61.6% -
Efficiency 9.5% 90.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.9% 74.1% -
Log Adjusted 25.7% 74.3% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +2 (63-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Atkins * 39 9-17 2-6 1-4 2 6 0 0 2 21 10 -
S. Vasturia * 37 4-8 2-6 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 11 4 -
P. Connaughton * 37 7-13 1-3 2-3 13 1 1 0 3 17 16 -
Z. Auguste * 28 3-8 0-0 0-1 7 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
A. Burgett * 24 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
T. Knight 22 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 2 2 5 -
D. Jackson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
V.J. Beachem 6 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McAdoo * 32 5-14 0-0 4-9 9 1 1 1 1 14 11 -
L. McDonald * 21 2-8 1-6 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 5 -2 -
D. Robinson * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Manor * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
W. Moody * 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
M. Paige 35 2-8 1-5 2-4 4 6 2 1 2 7 10 -
J.P. Tokoto 26 5-5 0-0 1-1 6 3 0 0 2 11 13 -
B. Johnson 21 4-9 0-0 1-3 4 0 1 0 1 9 4 -
N. Britt 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 4 1 -
K. Meeks 12 2-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 0 5 6 -
I. Hicks 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Hubert 8 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
J. James 4 2-2 0-0 1-1 2 0 1 0 0 5 6 -

* = starter