Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | North Caroli... | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.5% (#8) | 28.5% (#38) | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.7% (#3) | 41.3% (#18) | - |
| Margin | 50.8% (#2) | 49.2% (#10) | Duke Bl... -0.2 |
| Pythagorean | 60.0% (#8) | 40.0% (#36) | - |
| Efficiency | 80.7% (#8) | 19.3% (#28) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.2% (#4) | 15.8% (#30) | - |
| Log Adjusted | 84.2% (#4) | 15.8% (#30) | - |
Team Stats Comparison
| Stat | Duke Blue Devils | North Caroli... |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 30 | 19 |
| PPG | 77.0 | 75.4 |
| FG% | 44.7% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 32.0% |
| FT% | 73.8% | 60.8% |
| RPG | 35.1 | 38.9 |
| APG | 14.3 | 14.4 |
| SPG | 7.0 | 7.6 |
| BPG | 2.8 | 5.2 |
| TOPG | 9.4 | 12.1 |
Efficiency Ratings
| Metric | Duke Blue Devils | North Caroli... |
|---|---|---|
| Adj. Off Eff | 112.3 | 105.9 |
| Adj. Def Eff | 87.7 | 94.1 |
| Adj. Net Eff | 24.6 | 11.8 |
Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength
Duke Blue Devils Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Hood | 15.5 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 32.5 |
| J. Parker | 18.8 | 8.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 30.6 |
| Q. Cook | 11.6 | 2.2 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 29.2 |
| R. Sulaimon | 10.2 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 26.1 |
| A. Jefferson | 6.5 | 7.2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 23.2 |
North Carolina Tar Heels Top Players
| Player | PPG | RPG | APG | SPG | BPG | MPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Paige | 17.5 | 3.2 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 35.6 |
| J. McAdoo | 14.3 | 6.8 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 30.5 |
| J.P. Tokoto | 10.5 | 5.9 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 29.3 |
| L. McDonald | 9.3 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 26.1 |
| N. Britt | 5.0 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 22.0 |