Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.2% | 34.8% | -3.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -4 (56-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Simmons | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. McDonald * | 33 | 5-11 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto * | 32 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| M. Paige * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. McAdoo * | 29 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| K. Meeks * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| N. Britt | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Hubert | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| B. Johnson | 12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. James | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Hicks | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wilson * | 39 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 8-12 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| J. Eddie * | 38 | 6-13 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| W. Johnston * | 34 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. Thompson * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. van Zegeren * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| C.J. Barksdale | 30 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| M. Wood | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Beyer | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter