Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.1% | 34.9% | -3.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -6 (75-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Paige * | 37 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| K. Meeks * | 24 | 11-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - |
| L. McDonald * | 24 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. McAdoo * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| N. Britt | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Johnson | 21 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| J. Simmons | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Hubert | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| I. Hicks | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Davis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. James | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas * | 40 | 6-19 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 1 | - |
| I. Miller * | 37 | 7-16 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 12 | - |
| M. Brandon * | 36 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| O. White * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Ojo * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| B. Bojanovsky | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| R. Gilchrist | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Smith | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Bookert | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter