Model Predictions
| Model | Providence Friars | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.7% | 86.3% | +10.1 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +2 (79-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bancroft | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Cotton * | 40 | 13-23 | 3-9 | 7-7 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 25 | - |
| L. Henton * | 39 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| T. Harris * | 38 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| J. Fortune * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| K. Batts * | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| C. Desrosiers | 30 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Paige * | 36 | 7-16 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto * | 34 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| L. McDonald * | 32 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| J. McAdoo * | 30 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| K. Meeks * | 13 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| B. Johnson | 21 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| N. Britt | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Hubert | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. James | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Hicks | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Simmons | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter