Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Syracuse Orange | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Syracuse Orange +12 (57-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Paige * | 37 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | - |
| J. McAdoo * | 35 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| J.P. Tokoto * | 34 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Nate Britt * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Joel James * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Leslie McDonald | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Brice Johnson | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kennedy Meeks | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jackson Simmons | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Isaiah Hicks | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Syracuse Orange
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 40 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| C.J. Fair * | 40 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Trevor Cooney * | 36 | 4-17 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -3 | - |
| Tyler Ennis * | 34 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Rakeem Christmas * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Michael Gbinije | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| B. Keita | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter