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North Carolina Tar Heels 85
@
NC State Wolfpack 84
2014-02-26

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 53.1% 46.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 46.2% 53.8% - ✗
Margin 64.2% 35.8% -3.2 ✓ (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% - ✓
Efficiency 73.7% 26.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 56.5% 43.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 57.1% 42.9% - ✓

Actual: NC State Wolfpack -1 (84-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McAdoo * 43 2-11 0-0 4-9 7 2 1 1 2 8 6 -
M. Paige * 41 11-21 7-12 6-8 6 5 2 0 1 35 26 -
J.P. Tokoto * 33 7-11 0-0 2-4 10 5 0 0 1 16 19 -
L. McDonald * 31 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 2 -2 -
K. Meeks * 21 3-7 0-0 2-4 10 0 0 0 1 8 10 -
B. Johnson 23 5-8 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 1 2 10 5 -
N. Britt 21 1-3 0-0 4-4 0 2 1 0 1 6 5 -
D. Hubert 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
I. Hicks 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. James 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Simmons 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Davis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Turner * 37 5-13 4-11 2-2 2 3 1 0 3 16 6 -
K. Washington * 35 1-4 0-1 0-1 10 0 0 4 2 2 10 -
T.J. Warren * 34 13-25 1-4 9-13 3 0 0 1 3 36 12 -
T. Lewis * 31 1-6 1-3 1-2 3 6 1 0 1 4 7 -
J. Vandenberg * 23 1-1 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 4 0 4 15 -
B. Anya 22 4-4 0-0 2-5 4 0 0 1 1 10 10 -
D. Lee 20 2-5 1-3 1-2 0 1 1 0 0 6 3 -
C. Barber 13 1-3 0-0 2-4 1 1 1 0 0 4 4 -
L. Freeman 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter