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New Mexico Lobos

Also known as: New Mexico Lobos
Program History

2013 Team Stats (25 games)

66.6
PPG
60.6
Opp
+6.7
Margin
42.7%
FG%
35.3%
3P%
69.1%
FT%
34.5
RPG
14.6
APG
11.1
TO
73.4
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1629 (#37) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1372 (#103) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 1119 (#38) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +30.6 (#80) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +17.1 (#66) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.803 (#11) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +8.9 More → 0.740 (#48) NetEff +8.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.4 More → 0.821 (#19) AdjNet +13.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.9 More → 0.830 (#19) AdjNet +13.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 58.8 More → 0.669 (#48) AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 58.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.887 (#34) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.866 (#34) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 114 | GP 35 More → 1369 (#9) RD 114 | GP 35

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-12 vs Davidson Wildcats W 86 - 81
2012-11-16 vs UIC Flames W 66 - 59
2012-11-18 vs George Mason Patriots W 70 - 69
2012-11-19 @ UConn Huskies W 66 - 60
2012-11-23 vs Idaho Vandals W 73 - 58
2012-11-25 vs Portland Pilots W 69 - 54
2012-11-28 vs Mercer Bears W 76 - 58
2012-12-01 @ Indiana State Sycamores W 77 - 68
2012-12-05 vs USC Trojans W 75 - 67
2012-12-08 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 65 - 52
2012-12-15 vs New Mexico State Aggies W 73 - 58
2012-12-19 @ New Mexico State Aggies W 68 - 63
2012-12-22 vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits L 65 - 70
2012-12-27 @ Cincinnati Bearcats W 55 - 54
2012-12-31 @ Saint Louis Billikens L 46 - 60
2013-01-09 vs UNLV Rebels W 65 - 60
2013-01-12 vs Fresno State Bulldogs W 72 - 45
2013-01-16 @ Boise State Broncos W 79 - 74
2013-01-23 vs Colorado State Rams W 66 - 61
2013-01-26 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 34 - 55
2013-01-30 @ Wyoming Cowboys W 63 - 59
2013-02-02 vs Nevada Wolf Pack W 75 - 62
2013-02-06 vs Air Force Falcons W 81 - 58
2013-02-09 @ UNLV Rebels L 55 - 64
2013-02-13 @ Fresno State Bulldogs W 54 - 48
2013-02-16 vs Boise State Broncos W 60 - 50
2013-02-23 @ Colorado State Rams W 91 - 82
2013-02-27 vs San Diego State Aztecs W 70 - 60
2013-03-02 vs Wyoming Cowboys W 53 - 42
2013-03-06 @ Nevada Wolf Pack W 75 - 62
2013-03-09 @ Air Force Falcons L 88 - 89
2013-03-13 vs Wyoming Cowboys W 59 - 46
2013-03-15 vs San Diego State Aztecs W 60 - 50
2013-03-16 vs UNLV Rebels W 63 - 56
2013-03-21 vs Harvard Crimson L 62 - 68

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
K. Williams K. Williams G 34 34.4 13.3 3.5 4.9 1.1 0.1 2.1 7.4 13.4 210 6.2 7.9 41.4 36.3 75.9 1.72 70.7 49.6
T. Snell T. Snell G 35 31.2 12.5 2.6 2.9 0.8 0.5 2.1 7.9 9.3 - - - 42.4 38.2 82.1 1.54 70.1 51.4
A. Kirk A. Kirk C 35 29.1 12.1 8.1 0.5 0.4 1.8 1.5 7.6 13.9 183 5.2 8.2 49.4 31.6 70.3 1.6 67.1 51.7
C. Bairstow C. Bairstow F 35 24.1 9.7 5.9 0.9 0.7 0.6 1.2 5.5 11.1 - - - 48.5 0 69.9 1.68 67.3 48.5
H. Greenwood H. Greenwood G 35 28.5 7.0 5.0 2.4 1.3 0.5 1.3 4.8 10.1 190 5.4 9.4 41.1 36.0 56.8 1.46 66.2 50.6
M. Walker M. Walker G 23 15.4 5.0 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.3 3.7 2.5 - - - 37.2 43.9 66.7 0.17 58.0 47.7
C. Adams C. Adams G-F 34 19.7 4.5 3.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.7 3.1 5.3 90 2.6 5.2 44.2 48.4 63.3 0.24 65.3 51.4
J. Fenton J. Fenton G 32 14.5 3.8 1.2 1.3 0.9 0.0 0.7 2.9 3.5 47 1.5 3.3 34.0 31.0 48.6 0.02 54.9 43.6
P. Thomas P. Thomas G 34 6.4 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.5 - - - 41.7 0.0 77.8 -0.33 59.5 41.7
C. Perez C. Perez G 1 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -13 -0.4 -0.6 0 0 50.0 -0.04 56.8 0
N. Banyard N. Banyard F 30 6.4 0.9 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.0 1.2 -26 -0.9 -3.6 20.0 14.3 45.0 -0.54 33.5 21.7
K. Alford K. Alford G 10 3.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.1 4 0.4 2.2 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.08 10.2 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG