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San Diego State Aztecs 50
@
New Mexico Lobos 60
2013-03-15

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs New Mexico Lobos Spread Result
Elo 21.9% 78.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 26.5% 73.5% - ✓
Margin 36.8% 63.2% +3.0 ✓ (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 46.2% 53.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 46.3% 53.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 43.5% 56.5% - ✓

Actual: New Mexico Lobos +10 (60-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Franklin * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 5 1 0 2 8 24 -
X. Thames * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 0 2 14 20 -
C. Tapley * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 0 14 21 -
J.J. O'Brien * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Stephens * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 4 9 -
W. Shepard 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 3 8 -
J. Rahon 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 7 11 -
S. Spencer 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
J. Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tony Snell * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 1 1 17 26 -
Kendall Williams * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 6 1 0 2 7 17 -
Cameron Bairstow * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 2 0 0 0 16 29 -
Hugh Greenwood * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 3 7 -
Alex Kirk * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 4 1 15 26 -
Chad Adams 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 2 7 -
Jamal Fenton 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
Pancake Thomas 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter