Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.1% | 43.9% | -1.3 | ✗ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +10 (70-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Franklin * | 35 | 3-13 | 1-7 | 9-11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| X. Thames * | 28 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| D. Stephens * | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| W. Shepard * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien | 32 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Rahon | 22 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| S. Spencer | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Polee II | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Snell * | 37 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| K. Williams * | 37 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 6-10 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| A. Kirk * | 33 | 8-12 | 3-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 24 | - |
| C. Bairstow * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| H. Greenwood * | 30 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| J. Fenton | 15 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Adams | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| P. Thomas | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| N. Banyard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter