Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.5% | 68.5% | +4.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +5 (65-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Marshall * | 36 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Birch * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Reinhardt * | 28 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A. Bennett * | 26 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| B. Dejean-Jones * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 25 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| M. Moser | 14 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Lopez-Sosa | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Cook | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Snell * | 37 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| K. Williams * | 35 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| A. Kirk * | 31 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 7-10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 20 | - |
| H. Greenwood * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| C. Adams * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| C. Bairstow | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Fenton | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Walker | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| N. Banyard | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Thomas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter