Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.9% | 79.1% | +7.3 | ✓ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +21 (55-34). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Williams * | 35 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 8 | - |
| A. Kirk * | 30 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| H. Greenwood * | 29 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| T. Snell * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -1 | - |
| C. Adams * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Bairstow | 24 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Fenton | 16 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| P. Thomas | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| N. Banyard | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Alford | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Walker | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Franklin * | 38 | 4-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | - |
| J. Rahon * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| D. Stephens * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| X. Thames | 23 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| S. Spencer | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| W. Shepard | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| D. Polee II | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Johnson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter