Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.1% | 83.9% | +9.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats -1 (54-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Williams * | 37 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 4 | - |
| C. Adams * | 30 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Kirk * | 29 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| T. Snell * | 27 | 4-15 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -2 | - |
| H. Greenwood * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - |
| D. Walker | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| C. Bairstow | 14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Fenton | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| P. Thomas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Banyard | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Parker * | 36 | 5-14 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 4 | - |
| S. Kilpatrick * | 34 | 5-22 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | - |
| C. Mbodj * | 31 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| C. Wright * | 27 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| J. Jackson * | 21 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| S. Thomas | 18 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| T. Rubles | 15 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| D. Nyarsuk | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Sanders | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Guyn | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter