Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.9 | ✗ (15.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.8% | 5.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack -13 (62-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kirk * | 36 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| T. Snell * | 33 | 8-11 | 3-6 | 6-7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 23 | - |
| K. Williams * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| C. Bairstow * | 28 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| H. Greenwood * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Fenton | 15 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Adams | 10 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| P. Thomas | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Alford | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Banyard | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Burton * | 35 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Story * | 34 | 7-15 | 6-11 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 12 | - |
| K. Panzer * | 29 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Evans, Jr. * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Fuetsch * | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Coleman | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| C. Huff | 26 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| D. Elliott | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Burris | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter