Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Wyoming Cowboys | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wyoming Cowboys -4 (59-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Williams * | 37 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | -9.7 |
| Hugh Greenwood * | 35 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 24 | -9.5 |
| Alex Kirk * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -12.6 |
| Cameron Bairstow * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | -7.8 |
| Tony Snell * | 29 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -3 | -6.6 |
| Jamal Fenton | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Chad Adams | 11 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | +2.8 |
| Nick Banyard | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Pancake Thomas | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.0 |
Wyoming Cowboys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Grabau * | 37 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +11.2 |
| Derrious Gilmore * | 37 | 5-10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | +13.2 |
| Larry Nance Jr. * | 35 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | +12.9 |
| Josh Adams * | 32 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +6.2 |
| Leonard Washington * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 7 | +6.3 |
| Derek Cooke Jr. | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | +7.0 |
| Nathan Sobey | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +2.0 |
| Jason McManamen | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.9 |
| Austin Haldorson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.7 |
* = starter