Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +8 (75-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Wesley * | 37 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Jio Fontan * | 33 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Eric Wise * | 29 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Dewayne Dedmon * | 29 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| J.T. Terrell * | 23 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Chass Bryan | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Aaron Fuller | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Omar Oraby | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Greg Allen | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Ari Stewart | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brendyn Taylor | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Strahinja Gavrilovic | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Kirk * | 36 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Kendall Williams * | 35 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Hugh Greenwood * | 30 | 6-11 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Chad Adams * | 27 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Tony Snell * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Demetrius Walker | 13 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Pancake Thomas | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Cameron Bairstow | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Nick Banyard | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jamal Fenton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter