Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.3% | 88.7% | +11.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +18 (76-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith * | 32 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 6 | - |
| B. Thomas * | 27 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Gollon * | 27 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| L. Hall * | 25 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -4 | - |
| D. Coursey * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Brown | 16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T.J. Hallice | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Bryan | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Canevari | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Smith | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. White Jr. | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Moten | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Poston | 3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| L. Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kirk * | 31 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 26 | - |
| T. Snell * | 30 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| K. Williams * | 28 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| C. Adams * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| H. Greenwood * | 23 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Fenton | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| C. Bairstow | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| D. Walker | 14 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| N. Banyard | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| P. Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Alford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Perez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter