Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.0% | 67.0% | +3.9 | ✗ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos -5 (74-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Snell * | 38 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 14 | - |
| K. Williams * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| C. Adams * | 34 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Kirk * | 32 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| H. Greenwood * | 30 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| C. Bairstow | 19 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Fenton | 15 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| D. Walker | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| P. Thomas | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| N. Banyard | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Drmic * | 45 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| D. Marks * | 43 | 10-20 | 2-2 | 5-8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 11 | - |
| J. Elorriaga * | 37 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| R. Watkins * | 32 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| I. Hadziomerovic * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - |
| M. Thompson | 34 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| J. Ness | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Bropleh | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Hamilton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter