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2013-01-16

Model Predictions

Model New Mexico Lobos Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 66.1% 33.9% -
Bradley-Terry 34.3% 65.7% -
Margin 33.0% 67.0% +3.9 (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 56.1% 43.9% -
Efficiency 56.6% 43.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.7% 34.3% -
Log Adjusted 67.2% 32.8% -

Actual: Boise State Broncos -5 (74-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Snell * 38 7-12 3-5 5-7 3 2 1 1 3 22 14 -
K. Williams * 35 3-7 0-2 5-8 3 6 0 0 1 11 12 -
C. Adams * 34 0-6 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 0 -3 -
A. Kirk * 32 1-4 0-1 8-8 7 0 0 1 3 10 11 -
H. Greenwood * 30 6-12 3-6 0-0 7 1 2 0 1 15 12 -
C. Bairstow 19 2-8 0-0 4-4 4 0 2 0 1 8 5 -
J. Fenton 15 3-4 3-4 0-2 2 1 2 0 1 9 9 -
D. Walker 11 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -1 -
P. Thomas 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
N. Banyard 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Drmic * 45 3-10 2-5 2-3 6 2 1 0 3 10 6 -
D. Marks * 43 10-20 2-2 5-8 6 2 1 1 6 27 11 -
J. Elorriaga * 37 3-7 3-7 2-2 3 0 1 0 2 11 6 -
R. Watkins * 32 6-8 0-0 0-2 10 2 1 0 1 12 16 -
I. Hadziomerovic * 19 0-2 0-2 0-0 5 4 2 0 3 0 6 -
M. Thompson 34 3-9 2-3 4-4 3 2 0 0 1 12 7 -
J. Ness 7 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. Bropleh 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Hamilton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter