Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.6% | 45.4% | -1.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores -9 (68-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Williams * | 43 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 29 | - |
| H. Greenwood * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 24 | - |
| A. Kirk * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| C. Adams * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 21 | - |
| T. Snell * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. Bairstow | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | - |
| D. Walker | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Fenton | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| P. Thomas | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| N. Banyard | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Arop * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 24 | - |
| L. Eitel * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Odum * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 36 | - |
| J. Gant * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| J. Kitchell * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Smith | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| R. Mahurin | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Cummings | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| D. Brown | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter