🐻⬇️🏀

Morgan State

Also known as: Morgan State Bears
Program History

2026 Team Stats (27 games)

75.9
PPG
77.5
Opp
-1.6
Margin
43.1%
FG%
33.4%
3P%
73.5%
FT%
35.2
RPG
13.4
APG
12.3
TO
82.1
Pace
69.4
AdjO
86.6
AdjD
#354
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 843 (#300) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 816 (#310) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1023 (#143) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -17.9 (#354) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → -0.4 (#369) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.220 (#325) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -17.5 More → 0.103 (#309) NetEff -17.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -24.2 More → 0.058 (#355) AdjNet -24.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -24.6 More → 0.055 (#355) AdjNet -24.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 86.6 More → 0.172 (#354) AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 86.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 77.7 More → 0.438 (#530) AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 77.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.468 (#361) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.461 (#360) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 141 | GP 27 More → 946 (#305) RD 141 | GP 27

2026 Schedule & Results

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Worrell Jr. A. Worrell Jr. G 27 29.2 18.3 3.9 1.2 0.9 0.2 2.1 12.9 9.6 -2 -2.0 -2.9 40.2 38.0 87.8 -0.01 59.4 51.4
E. Davis E. Davis - 23 35.2 14.1 3.5 6.0 1.1 0.1 2.5 11.0 11.3 -70 -4.1 -18.2 45.8 22.7 72.1 -1.07 53.0 46.8
R. Lawson R. Lawson - 27 33.4 12.6 3.9 4.1 0.7 0.1 2.5 11.3 7.6 -71 -3.4 -17.4 35.9 29.1 80.2 -1.11 48.1 41.5
W. Peggs Jr. W. Peggs Jr. - 26 19.0 8.1 2.1 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.7 7.0 3.7 -22 -1.2 -9.2 38.7 35.1 78.9 0.1 53.1 49.7
Eugene Alvin Eugene Alvin - 27 18.9 7.5 3.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.7 5.6 6.3 -39 -1.9 -10.7 47.0 40.3 61.1 -0.46 57.8 56.0
Christian Meeks Christian Meeks - 27 28.4 5.9 5.8 0.7 0.7 0.3 1.0 3.7 8.7 - - - 55.4 25.0 62.0 - 59.7 56.4
C. Oliver C. Oliver - 23 14.1 4.3 2.9 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.6 3.1 4.6 - - - 57.7 14.3 69.6 - 61.0 58.5
M. Harris M. Harris - 18 12.9 4.0 3.9 0.3 0.3 1.4 0.7 2.8 6.4 31 1.8 14.1 54.9 0 66.7 0.1 58.5 54.9
T. Edwards T. Edwards - 2 17.0 3.5 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.5 3.0 11 2.8 48.3 42.9 0.0 33.3 0.02 42.1 42.9
David Bumpass David Bumpass - 20 8.7 3.1 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 2.9 1.3 -29 -1.9 -19.0 37.9 9.5 57.1 -0.4 44.1 39.7
Manok Lual Manok Lual - 19 7.5 1.8 0.9 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.3 1.3 -13 -1.0 -11.4 48.0 25.0 47.4 -0.31 51.0 50.0
D. James D. James - 19 6.2 1.6 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.2 1.6 -37 -3.7 -71.7 54.5 0 75.0 -0.01 58.8 54.5
M. Wade M. Wade - 11 6.7 0.7 1.4 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.3 -22 -2.2 -25.4 44.4 0 0 -0.29 44.4 44.4
J. Socka J. Socka - 6 2.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.2 2 0.3 15.6 33.3 0 33.3 0.02 35.5 33.3
Breon Barnett Breon Barnett - 13 3.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.2 19 1.7 45.7 11.1 0.0 100.0 0.26 20.2 11.1

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG