Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Bears | Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | -3.4 | ✗ (20.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.7 | ✓ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks +17 (66-49). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Meeks * | 36 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -1.9 |
| Rob Lawson * | 34 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 | -3.6 |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. * | 33 | 4-13 | 3-11 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | -2.8 |
| Elijah Davis * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -3 | -14.4 |
| Christian Oliver * | 14 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Walter Peggs Jr. | 26 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -3.5 |
| Manok Lual | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -12.5 |
| Dallas James | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -3.5 |
| Eugene Alvin | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +4.5 |
| David Bumpass | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.0 |
| Breon Barnett | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Teal * | 36 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | -2.8 |
| Joseph Locandro * | 32 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 3 | +12.2 |
| Jaden Cooper * | 32 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | +7.1 |
| Dorion Staples * | 28 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 13 | +5.5 |
| Levi Beckwith * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | +7.0 |
| Zion Obanla | 17 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | +0.8 |
| Justin Monden | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -2.8 |
| Trey Brown | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.7 |
| Christopher Flippin | 9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -2.4 |
| Javoy Thompson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Jaden Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter