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2025-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears Mercyhurst Lakers Spread Result
Elo 32.3% 67.7% -
Bradley-Terry 32.1% 67.9% -
Margin 8.8% 91.2% +12.9 (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 26.2% 73.8% -
Points Off/Def 32.0% 68.0% -

Actual: Mercyhurst Lakers +14 (86-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Meeks * 32 4-5 0-0 2-4 7 1 0 0 1 10 12 -
W. Peggs Jr. * 21 4-5 2-2 5-6 3 1 0 0 1 15 13 -
E. Davis * 18 3-6 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 3 8 1 -
E. Alvin * 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. James * 7 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
R. Lawson 36 3-13 0-3 10-11 2 4 3 0 1 16 11 -
A. Worrell Jr. 30 1-8 0-4 7-8 7 2 0 0 2 9 8 -
C. Oliver 14 2-5 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 1 1 5 4 -
M. Lual 11 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
D. Bumpass 9 1-5 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 -
M. Harris 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 -
B. Barnett 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Socka 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Mercyhurst Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Blunt III * 36 6-15 3-8 4-8 2 5 1 0 1 19 11 -
J. Lemelman * 34 6-10 3-4 3-3 1 3 0 0 1 18 11 -
Q. Martin * 33 5-5 0-0 2-6 4 1 0 3 0 12 15 -
C. Gamble * 23 1-5 1-4 2-2 6 7 0 0 3 5 10 -
M. Ivanauskas * 23 8-10 1-1 0-1 5 0 0 1 0 17 13 -
D. Jackson Jr. 21 1-4 0-0 1-2 1 4 2 1 1 3 6 -
C. Johnson 14 3-5 1-1 3-4 6 1 0 1 1 10 12 -
S. Lang 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 2 5 -
J. Thomas 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
V. Pavlovic 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
K. Fuhrmann 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter