🐻⬇️🏀

@
2025-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears California Golden Bears Spread Result
Elo 19.5% 80.5% -
Bradley-Terry 8.5% 91.5% -
Margin 0.4% 99.6% +30.4 (16.6 off)
Pythagorean 22.1% 77.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 5.6% 94.4% -

Actual: California Golden Bears +47 (97-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Lawson 37 3-12 0-3 5-8 4 8 1 0 4 11 8 -14.2
C. Meeks 32 2-6 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 1 4 5 -
E. Alvin 26 2-7 0-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 4 0 -14.3
C. Oliver 22 6-9 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 2 14 4 -
A. Worrell Jr. 21 2-7 0-3 4-4 2 1 0 1 1 8 4 -7.5
W. Peggs Jr. 16 0-4 0-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -4 -
M. Lual 13 1-2 0-1 1-5 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -9.5
M. Wade 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 4 4 -14.2
D. Bumpass 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -11.7
D. James 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Harris 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Barnett 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

California Golden Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Bell 37 8-11 4-6 8-8 6 2 1 3 0 28 29 +14.2
S. Carr 36 5-10 0-3 7-7 6 9 3 0 1 17 24 +14.2
J. Camden 32 8-12 5-7 2-2 8 4 0 0 2 23 21 +7.6
D. Ames 26 3-9 1-3 1-2 1 0 2 0 3 8 -1 +14.4
L. Dort 23 5-6 0-0 2-2 7 0 2 0 0 12 15 +11.7
N. Dorsey 21 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 3 3 0 2 3 8 +6.9
M. Ilic 11 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 4 7 -
M. Kocanas 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 +2.5
L. Butler 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
BJ Fisher 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Marbury II 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Manyiel Dut 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter